← Fyendal Hobby Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Fyendal Hobby Store Championship
decks
3
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-6-0
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1248
· median 1223
· range 1094–1428
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
949
Q1 1211
Q3 1413
1685
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
